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Sustainable social environment: Fuzzy assessment and forecasting

N.A. Abdullayeva. Institute of Cybernetics. Azerbaijan National Academy of Science


This paper will present fuzzy approach to assess and forecast the sustainability of social environment based on context-dependent economic, societal, political, spiritual and ecological development indicators. Fuzzy methods are applied on the basis of new database of the indicators taken from different sources, allowing to reflect not only a statics, but also dynamics of development. In the future, practical implementation of such models will be based on elicitation of expert knowledge to construct a fuzzy transition matrix. Fuzzy models developed in this paper provide a novel approach to support decision-making regarding sustainability of social environment.

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